Alt text: A line plot with 2 axis (confidence vs competence) referencing the Dunning-Kruger effect with various distro logos placed at different points on the line. Starts with mint/ubuntu near (0,0) and progressing through multiple distros to end up with opensuse/fedora at what it calls “the plateau of sustainability”
NixOS came out in 2003, crunchbang came out in 2008. As someone who swapped to NixOS after reaching the “plateau of stability” and realizing I needed more power, while the distro is a clusterfuck that shouldn’t be as popular as it is. It has some very clear and defined use cases, so I don’t see it dying any time soon.