I was once talking with one of my classmates and he said that in the future, there will be universal basic income implemented by entire world. I was not convinced at that time and thought he is just being stupid but given the layoffs happening and massive amount of unemployment, I am thinking about this possibility. What do you say?

  • vogi@piefed.social
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    1
    ·
    edit-2
    4 days ago

    I read Utopia for Realists earlier this year. A big portion of it is about UBI and is a great read for anybody new to this topic. The thing that surprised me the most is that we were fairly close in the USA in having something similar, this was under Nixon. UBI seems to not really be that left of an idea as i assumed it was. If you are too poor you are effectively costing the country more money than it would cost to just help those to be able to work/spend money themselves.

    In my city there was a citizen initiative to have a test run last year, but sadly opposing parties ran a disinformation campaign against it. Saying we already have enough studies that show its not worth it. (Which is a flat out lie, but I guess you can interpret studies as you wish). Most people fell for it. I think for politicians its just too easy to have big enough portion of people uneducated and too busy with their 9-5 jobs so they do not realize how they are being taken advantage off.

    EDIT: I do think though that one form of UBI is the future as well, its just a matter of when. But I might also be too much of an optimist. Or maybe we could also just get rid of advertisement that would work as well. Splitting the real work thats then left to do.

  • shirro@aussie.zone
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    7
    ·
    7 days ago

    The rich have done everything they can to increase wealth inequality and brainwash the public into acceptance. That will not be reversed. If they allow UBI it will be below poverty levels and highly conditional.

    The wealthy want slaves. Its a mental illness with them. Black people. Underage sex trafficking. Working poor. Robots. Last thing they want is a utopia where everyone is healthy, happy and financially independent.

    One of the wealthiest countries in the world doesn’t even have proper healthcare system in 2026. No way are those dumb fucks getting a UBI. Its a lie.

  • AAA@feddit.org
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    5
    ·
    6 days ago

    Yes, but not in the way we envision it.

    Wealth inequality will increase. Drastically. There will be a small group of people owning basically everything. But they still need cheap labor and subjects, plus someone needs to consume their products. Because jobs will be limited UBI will be implemented: as a baseline to keep us alive, not as a tool for general prosperity.

    Watch “Elysium” how this bleak world may look. It’s not a great movie, but has that “everyone but a few people is super fucked”-theme locked down.

  • yermaw@sh.itjust.works
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    4
    ·
    6 days ago

    UBI is the future if we are allowed peace.

    WW3 in an apocalyptic scale is much more likely. Don’t need to feed the obsolete peasants if they’re all dead.

  • AndyMFK@lemmy.dbzer0.com
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    4
    ·
    6 days ago

    Yes, but only because your question implies there is a future for humanity, and I believe UBI is realistically one of the few ways humanity even gets a future

    • Naive@lemmy.worldOP
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      1
      ·
      4 days ago

      Yeah, I even feel skeptical of humanity having future. Global warming and how we are fucking our environment can cause our end to fall upon us too quickly.

  • weeeeum@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    4
    ·
    7 days ago

    No because corps and oligarchs will campaign against it, inexplicably win, and destroy one of the country’s greatest achievements with cheers and applause

    Its cynical, but its happened to many social programs thay way.

  • Kangae_Hishiryo@scribe.disroot.org
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    4
    ·
    7 days ago

    It should be. Also the NIT (Negative Income Tax) so the taxing scheme becomes progressive, rather than regressive. Though I know I’m asking too much because capitalism…

  • DJKJuicy@sh.itjust.works
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    4
    ·
    7 days ago

    UBI will only come as a response to a new economic depression. The idea that our society will proactively fix itself has been proven wrong time after time.

    Humans only learn the hard way.

  • jpreston2005@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    2
    ·
    6 days ago

    If we replaced all of our current welfare systems with a simple UBI, it would save us money. In terms of running the system, and simplifying taxes. Don’t need to take 5 different taxes out of your paycheck, just one. Earn over a certain amount? You don’t get it. The majority of people won’t, because they’ll be earning enough to pay in but not collect. This would have to be done alongside universal healthcare, as tying healthcare to employment wouldn’t work much anymore, which would also save us a massive amount of money.

    The result of which, is an absolute explosion of creative genius and new businesses. People no longer hindered by the threat of starving in the street, or losing their healthcare, would finally be able to start that business they always wanted to. They’d be able to create their long-overdue masterpiece. Literature, art, new inventions. There’s a guy out there right now that, if given the space and a bit of assistance, could create the first prototype of a warp drive. There’s someone else who has a pretty good idea about how to cure dementia, and halt the aging process.

    Just imagine the possibilities of actually investing in our people, and in our society, instead of handing all of our money to billionaires, and letting those evil mentally handicapped fuckwits steer the course of humanity straight into a climate change-driven mass-extinction event.

    Just Imagine.

    • Fizz@lemmy.nz
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      1
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      5 days ago

      Mostly they will just mindlessly consume vices until forced into work.

      • jpreston2005@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        4 days ago

        Every single study of UBI has proved you wrong.

        You’re just repeating the racist lies that conservatives brought against “welfare queens” when we introduced welfare and SNAP.

  • Clbull@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    2
    ·
    edit-2
    6 days ago

    UBI to me is a leftist pipe dream of how a post-scarcity society could work. When you actually look at the financials and how greedy humanity is, it all falls apart and will either bankrupt entire nations or pay an absolute pittance.

    The UK’s voluntary living wage is £13.45 an hour, which translates to £26,227.50 for someone working full time 37.5 hours a week. If we replaced our entire welfare system (state pensions, Universal Credit, child benefit, Personal Independence Payments, Disability Living Allowance, etc) and paid our approx 58.1 million population of working age people and retirees the living wage, it would cost us over £1.5 trillion, or roughly half our annual GDP. Our current welfare expenditure by comparison is at an estimated £333.7 billion.

    I am using the Living Wage as a comparison since it’s an agreed metric calculated by a non-profit organisation for how much a worker would need to earn to live on their wage in the UK. To pay a living wage to every adult in the country we would need to spend nearly three times as much as what the USA spends on its military.

    The question then becomes “How the fuck will we pay for it?” We can’t even get the rich to pay their fair share of tax as things stand. They are going to flat-out refuse to foot the bill once AI leads to mass unemployment.

    What I think is a more likely scenario is societal collapse. People starve, leading to widespread civil unrest and then a brutal and violent crackdown, made easier than ever by armed drones and humanoid robots that have no sense of morals. This is exactly the kind of doomsday scenario that a lot of billionaires are prepping for.

    The only way I can see humanity not ripping itself apart is if automation somehow makes the cost of living so cheap that UBI could viably exist.

    • Naive@lemmy.worldOP
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      1
      ·
      4 days ago

      Interesting. UK and other EU countries are already doing enough welfare though (in my opinion), that I don’t think they need to replace all of that with UBI.

    • jpreston2005@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      1
      ·
      6 days ago

      You’re forgetting to factor in all the people that won’t receive it because they already earn enough. A majority of people won’t get anything at all. Replacing all of our current welfare systems with a simple UBI would save us money. It’s just that the billionaires are under the impression that it would stop people from working harder for a better life, which is also something they think about our current welfare system, and has never been true.

      • Clbull@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        6 days ago

        I’m talking about a scenario where entire industries of workers end up getting displaced by AI and robotics, and I don’t think we’re far off from this becoming a reality. If Tesla’s Optimus 3 robots are anywhere near as advanced as they are rumoured to be, they could easily replace warehouse and logistics workers.

        We already have Waymo disrupting the taxi industry further by removing the driver from the equation, and Miso Robotics automating kitchens in restaurant chains like Jersey Mike’s Subs and White Castle.

        Also, doesn’t means-testing UBI kinda defeat its intended purpose?

        • jpreston2005@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          6 days ago

          New tools used to replace workers happens throughout the course of human history, I don’t think we will ever see robots replace humans successfully enough to really dent the workforce, they’ll just go to other industries.

          Though the one industry whose collapse could spur the entire UBI system, is long-haul truckers. That may happen, but again, I think they’ll just go into other off-shoot industries, and the change in workforce won’t be so dramatic that it’s one day they’re all on the road with jobs, and the next day they’re all out of work. You’ll need truckers with experience to actually park the things for loading/un-loading, and nobody is going to trust an AI or robot with piloting that much freight all by itself. they’ll want a human behind the wheel, ready to take over.

          The industry we should be driving people towards is computer chip manufacturing.

          • Clbull@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            1
            ·
            6 days ago

            Each technological advancement has created new jobs in some capacity. What new jobs has AI created? And don’t tell me “prompt engineer” like every AI bro likes to hype up. That is not an actual position and the fact that I cannot find any jobs advertised where typing out very specific and accurate prompts are one of the skills required is proof of this.

            AI isn’t perfect. It hallucinates and sometimes gives bad answers. But I think that we are one incredibly good model away from being able to reliably automate white collar work.

            • jpreston2005@lemmy.world
              link
              fedilink
              arrow-up
              1
              ·
              5 days ago

              Ah, I think AI is shite, and most people reliably hate it. It’s just a new fad that will be sectioned off for tiny use-cases in the future, I don’t think it will reliably be able to do anyones job at scale

  • Toasticus@piefed.social
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    2
    ·
    7 days ago

    No, not without sacrificing a welfare program or something else.

    Because it’ll be a hard sell to have UBI on top of WIC, SNAP, SSI, Unemployment and other welfare. Something would have to go.

  • Alexfire@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    1
    ·
    6 days ago

    Would be nice but the wealthy won’t allow it. You can trace back to when the wealth/power inequality ramped up and those with the power will never let it go, and worse with their propaganda on all the socials most scroll mindlessly. The same methods to keep people going along with the flow was used way back then and still today. Keep people in low-level thinking, don’t question, just obey supernatural explanations, Perry’s scheme 1-3 of 9, they use all the neurological tricks like fear, reward, belonging, etc so people comply and conform, just what the owners and those who also benefit from the high-control systems want.

      • Alexfire@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        2
        ·
        4 days ago

        Here’s some more info and ask more questions to better understand it all, check sources of course to ensure accuracy. share.google/aimode/m9pcjKzfhtWExb89T

        Perry’s Scheme of Intellectual and Ethical Development is a framework mapping how human thinking evolves from rigid, absolute black-and-white beliefs to nuanced, context-dependent personal commitments. Developed by William G. Perry Jr., it outlines nine sequential positions grouped into four core stages